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Will Trump’s new executive orders help you or hurt you?
A lot has happened since President Donald Trump took unilateral action earlier this month. Trump signed one executive order and three memoranda on Aug. 8 after negotiations stalled between negotiators on Capitol Hill on the next (which would include a ).
Trump’s COVID-19 relief executive actions range from working to , extend and pause payroll taxes, and ultimately provide more assistance to Americans hurting financially from the .
Immediately, critics began suggesting that Trump’s orders might fall short in ways that the larger stimulus package could accomplish, such as providing a second stimulus check. So what’s happened since Trump signed the directives and how does that affect your check?
We broke down all four of the directives, including the gaps that could keep them from being effective at all.
Keep track of the coronavirus pandemic.
So far, the answer still depends on whether Republicans and Democrats in Congress can agree onthat includes a new round of payments for . This is due largely in part to the trouble states might have implementing Trump’s orders in general. (Read on for a breakdown of the orders.)
Trump’s memorandum on unemployment benefits said the federal government would contribute $300, and states could contribute the remaining $100 to make up the (down from the , which ended July 31). With individual states are already pinching pennies amid the coronavirus outbreak, governors pushed back, with New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo calling it “laughable.”
On Aug. 11, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said that the unemployment benefit could start in a “week or two,” but as of Tuesday, checks haven’t been sent out.
Here’s a breakdown of all four of Trump’s orders:
What it is: Following Trump’s memorandum, the federal government would contribute $300 of the (down from the , which ended July 31). Individual states — already pinching pennies during the coronavirus outbreak — are responsible for the remaining $100 per person per week, retroactively starting Aug. 1.
Arizona is the first state to send the $300 as of Aug. 18.
Again, governors have bristled at footing 25% of the bill during a pandemic. In California, Gov. Gavin Newsom said that huge budget cuts would be needed to implement Trump’s plan. He estimated that matching 25% for unemployment benefits would cost California around $700 million per week.
“It would create a burden the likes which even a state as large as California could never absorb without, again, massive cuts to important services,” Newsom said during a press conference.
How the unemployment benefit would be funded: Trump is unilaterally seeking to use leftover or unspent FEMA funds to pay unemployment benefits. Experts predict this year’s hurricane season will see an “extremely active” series of storms. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, hurricanes can cost upward of $22 billion per storm.
In addition, last week FEMA authorized the use of federal funds to help combat the LNU Lightning Complex– the largest of the wildfires in California— burning in Napa County. As of Monday, wildfires had ravaged over 1.2 million acres of land.
Could there be a legal challenge? This executive action could be challenged legally since the Constitution gives Congress control over federal spending. As such, Trump doesn’t have the legal authority to issue binding executive orders about how money should be spent during the coronavirus pandemic.
Stimulus Check Standoff
The language of the only true order out of the four — is complicated, but definitive. It up to 40 million Americans could lose their homes as a result of the . That’s 12% of the total US population.. In fact, the Aspen Institute suggests that
In a press conference following the signing, Trump said that he wouldn’t let people be evicted, but didn’t specify how.
As of Aug. 25, the last remaining eviction protection established by the vanished and the executive order offers no solid replacement. Without protection in the order– or from a relief package from Congress– a national housing crisis looms on the horizon as September rent is due in a matter of days for tens of millions of renters
The current directive leaves the decision to ban evictions in the hands of Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Director Robert Redfield, taking no official stance itself. It also doesn’t say if it will provide financial assistance to renters, leaving that decision to Mnuchin and Housing and Urban Development Secretary Ben Carson.
In comparison, thebanned until July 25 on properties backed by federal mortgage programs like Fannie Mae, or those that receive federal funds like HUD. The Republican-authored HEALS Act didn’t address stipulations on evictions.
The White House’s memorandum on student loan deferral moves to waive student loan interest until Dec. 31, extending the current relief under the CARES Act that is set to expire Sept. 30 by two months. Payments are scheduled to restart on Jan. 1, 2021.
There’s a catch: Trump’s memo applies to loans “held by the Department of Education,” which doesn’t include privately held student loans, such as through a bank.
A pet project of Trump’s that he’s been pushing for months, the “payroll tax holiday” seeks to defer your federal tax withholding, which means you’d take home more money per paycheck — temporarily. Since this is a deferral and not tax forgiveness, you would still have to pay those taxes after the deferral period passes, though without having to pay additional interest or tax. The memo includes language to explore avenues for eliminating the deferred tax altogether.
The fine print: Trump’s memorandum covers a four-month period from Sept. 1 through Dec. 31, for people earning less than $100,000 a year, or less than $4,000 every two weeks (pretax).
The memo’s language specifies that Mnuchin, chasm lake (www.youtube.com) as Treasury secretary, chasm lake can exercise his authority to “defer the withholding, deposit and payment of the tax.” According to the US Code cited, Mnuchin could extend this for one year.
Payroll taxes fund Social Security and Medicare. In a letter to the Senate on Monday, Social Security Chief Actuary Stephen Goss said that if a permanent payroll tax cut were put in place, the program could be out of funding by mid-2023 (Goss estimates this if the change were to take effect for earnings starting Jan. 1, 2021.) Additionally, the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund would run out of funds by mid-2023, and the DI Trust Fund asset reserves would be depleted by about mid-2021.
Could Trump be sued? Congress is authorized with writing and passing laws regarding financial decisions. The White House can’t forgive taxes without Congressional approval. Trump signaled on Aug. 7 that he’s unconcerned with being sued.
“Well, you always get sued. Everything you do, you get sued,” he said.
So far, the executive actions signed by Trump will cover only the four topics above, rather than the large scope of either the an executive order won’t go far enough.. Democrats have said that
Schumer has pointed out specifics that the orders lacked. While there could be action taken on this in the future, to date, Trump’s newly signed policies fail to address:
Both Democratic and White House negotiators are open to talks continuing. “If we can get a fair deal, we’re willing to do it this week,” Mnuchin said.
But talks remain stalled, and the Senate are on break till September. If the two sides do reach an agreement, September looks like a likely time, andlegislation potentially could go up for a vote next month. Both chambers must vote before the legislation lands on Trump’s desk for his signature. If a deal is reached, it’s also possible that the executive action will be null and void.
If you’re looking for more information, we’ve looked atand compared the stimulus proposals.
Lori Grunin contributed to this story.
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